Trend Watch 2012Here’s what Editor-in-Chief Glenn Haussman sees as some of the most significant travel issues in the coming year.Tuesday, January 03, 2012
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The coming year is going to be a good one in the hotel universe, but in order to make it the best year possible, you need to leverage the trends. Here is how we see the trends shaking out in 2012.
Consumers Still In Charge?
For now it looks as if consumers are still in charge in the vast majority of markets. But that’s because hoteliers have ceded control. We’re not talking about you New York, San Francisco, et al. The market bifurcation between the haves and have nots will continue to become exacerbated as big market cities continue to pull in top ADRs while smaller markets will continue to lag.
Why? The problem is twofold for markets outside the leading 25. Yes, there is still some softness in demand, which is making mom and pop hoteliers still skittish about raising rates. However, that problem is as much a psychological hurdle as a tangible reality. Hoteliers need to be more aggressive in raising rates, even if it is just a couple of dollars at a time. If you have a quality product and are fully capable of communicating your value proposition than the difference between charging $84 and $89 should be a non-issue to the consumer.
Confidence is critical here and consumers will spend if given good reason. Anyone take a look at the malls this holiday season?
Mobile Mayhem
Ever wonder why no one looks you in the eye anymore? It’s because we’re all looking at teeny tiny screens and forgetting how to speak directly to people. Especially the under 30 set. Now, people are using their mobile devices – powerful pocket computers really- to do all sorts of things including things that are not Angry Birds. I won’t go anywhere new to eat without checking out Yelp, for example, and many won’t even consider a hotel unless it’s been approved by reviewers on TripAdvisor.
Now GPS technology is a standard mobile phone application and you can take advantage of this cool tool. It’s a powerful instrument that can alert people to your hotel and/or restaurant. So you have to realize the game is shifting to one the spot decision making so it’s now a matter of figuring out how you can appeal to the person who is making that decision after they have already left home. I love the idea of driving down I95 and deciding to stop for the night with all the information on where I should stay in my phone delivered in real time. It will help me find the right place to stay for the right price. Only question remaining is how is your multi-million dollar asset being portrayed in the mobile space?
Discounting to Disaster
The last year or so has seen the bursting forth of myriad new sites giving consumers deep discounts on hotel rooms. It’s OTAs 2.0 and hoteliers need to come to grips with how to handle these sites. But this issue portends a larger and more serious concern; the retraining of the customer to look elsewhere first for rooms. If that happens, expect it to be even more difficult to push those rates back up to 2007 levels.
Some hotel brands are starting to get the idea that their brand sites need to give customers a reason to come back time and time again. And maybe the answer has something that is not directly related to the act of booking hotel rooms. InterContinental Hotels, for example, has an app that features an array of recipes from its hotels around the world. And the program gets regular updates I am told. That is smart creative thinking that gets people engaged in a brand and creates critical top of mind awareness.
I am now wondering which brand is going to be smart enough to match the massive mobile gaming trend. Will someone partner with Zynga already and create a simple fun game? I can see it so clearly. How about a Frogger style game where a harried bellman must avoid bell-carts flying past him to reach a customer? Or a game that focuses on assembling meals for hungry customers in a hotel?
Renovations STILL Rule
I know I have been writing and speechifying on this topic for more than a year, but it’s still true. Those with the newest or most updated properties will continue to command the strongest rates in their neighborhood. If your hotel in not planning a renovation (and has not just completed one) you, my friend may find yourself as the least desirous property in your town. Truth is an aging property will leave you unable to raise your rates and effectively compete for business. If you can’t afford a full scale renovation you must do something and at least hit the most troubling areas. Then be sure to promote your renovation to customers so you can start training them to expect to pay more.
Look to the Ground
Unless you are in Hawaii focus more on drive-in business rather than fly-in business. The amount of seats in the sky keeps getting smaller – down two percent in Q4 2011 alone, says Morgan Stanley – and cuts will probably continue into 2012. That’s helping the airlines charge more, but it’s not going to help deliver guests to your porte-cochère.
You may want to believe people are traveling less, but they are not. They are traveling and more are doing it by car. And I am not talking about vacations. These days kids are setting the travel agenda with their participation in out of town sports competitions specifically, and other kid related events too. Even spelling bees are giving parents a reason to book rooms. You need to tap into those markets and find out what events are going to take place in your neighborhood in 2012 and give those parents a compelling value proposition to stay with you when they are on the road. How about creating a night time ice cream party for the team? That won’t cost too much but will give you an edge.
On a personal note I see many parents overspending on travel for the sake of their kids. They may be going broke doing it, but as long as Johnny is on that traveling soccer team they will spend, spend, spend. Therefore it might as well be you taking their money rather than your competition.
The Value Sensitive Guest Still Prevails
It’s going to be even more about adding value as you try to raise rates during 2012, but don’t confuse value with discounting. You can raise your rates while also giving guests what they want; the feeling they are paying a fair price for that hotel room and the amenities and services it comes with.
You must give customers real and convincing reasons to come to your hotel by offering real value. The hotel business has done a great job at training guests to look online for the best deals. And unless you want to commoditize the industry like the airlines have – which incidentally have never made money over the length of their existence – you better start getting creative.
That means creating exciting packages and deals that excite, inspire and motivate consumers to stay with your hotel. Stop doing what your competition is doing. They’re wrong. Take a chance in the New Year and try something new.


